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Predective Modelling In R

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Predective Modelling In R

Data Science & Business Analytics

Duration
45 Hours

Course Description


      A Predictive Modeling in R course typically covers the fundamental concepts of predictive modeling, introduces the R programming language for statistical computing and data analysis, and then delves into various predictive modeling techniques using R. The course will likely include data manipulation, model building, evaluation, and application to real-world scenarios.

Course Outline For Predective Modelling in R

1. R programming fundamentals (prerequisite or introductory module)

  • Introduction to R and RStudio: Setting up the environment, understanding basic syntax, data types, operators, and control flow.
  • Data Structures in R: Working with vectors, matrices, arrays, lists, factors, and data frames.
  • Functions in R: Creating and using functions, understanding function arguments and scope.
  • Input/Output Operations: Reading and writing data from various file formats. 

2. Statistical foundations for predictive modeling

  • Descriptive Statistics: Measures of central tendency, dispersion, and data distribution.
  • Probability and Inferential Statistics: Hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, and concepts like covariance and correlation.
  • Linear Algebra and Calculus (if applicable to advanced models): Fundamentals for understanding algorithms like gradient descent and neural networks. 

3. Data manipulation and preparation in R

  • Data Cleaning: Handling missing values, outliers, and inconsistencies.
  • Data Transformation: Applying transformations like normalization, standardization, and feature scaling.
  • Feature Engineering: Creating new features from existing data to enhance model performance.
  • Data Manipulation with dplyr and tidyr: Mastering functions like filter(), select(), mutate(), group_by(), summarize(), arrange(), gather(), and spread() for efficient data wrangling.
  • Data Visualization in R: Using libraries like ggplot2 to explore and understand data patterns and relationships visually. 

4. Introduction to predictive modeling

  • Defining Predictive Modeling: Understanding its goals, applications, and importance in data science.
  • Types of Predictive Models: Overview of common models like regression, classification, clustering, time series models, decision trees, and ensemble models.
  • Dependent and Independent Variables: Understanding the relationship between input features and the target variable.
  • Training and Testing Data: Splitting data into training, validation, and test sets to build and evaluate models effectively. 

5. Regression models in R

  • Linear Regression: Simple and multiple linear regression, model fitting, interpretation of coefficients, diagnostics, handling overfitting and underfitting, outliers' identification, and treatment.
  • Logistic Regression: Binary, multinomial, and advanced logistic regression, interpretation of odds ratios, and application to classification problems.
  • Regularization Techniques: Understanding and applying L1 (Lasso) and L2 (Ridge) regularization to prevent overfitting.
  • Other Regression Techniques: Potentially covering polynomial regression, Poisson regression, negative binomial, dual, hurdle, and zero-inflated models. 

6. Classification models in R

  • Decision Trees: Building and interpreting decision trees for classification tasks.
  • Random Forests: Understanding ensemble methods, reducing overfitting, handling missing data, and feature importance.
  • Support Vector Machines (SVM): Classifying data using SVMs and tuning hyperparameters like kernel, cost, and gamma.
  • K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN): Implementing KNN for classification.
  • Other Classification Algorithms: Potentially covering Naive Bayes and others. 

7. Model evaluation and selection

  • Evaluation Metrics: Understanding metrics like accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, confusion matrix, AUC-ROC, MSE, RMSE, and R-squared.
  • Cross-Validation: Implementing techniques like k-fold cross-validation, stratified k-fold, leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV), and nested cross-validation to assess model performance and prevent overfitting.
  • Hyperparameter Tuning: Optimizing model performance by tuning hyperparameters using techniques like grid search or randomized search. 

8. Time series analysis and forecasting (if applicable)

  • Time Series Data: Understanding components like trends, seasonality, and variations in time series data.
  • Time Series Models: Using models like ARIMA and exponential smoothing for forecasting.
  • Time Series Analysis in R: Using R functions and packages like ts(), lubridate, and forecast to create, visualize, and analyze time series data.
  • Evaluating Forecast Accuracy: Using metrics like Mean Error (ME), Mean Percentage Error (MPE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) to assess forecast accuracy. 

9. Advanced topics (depending on course level)

  • Deep Learning with R: Building and training neural networks using packages like keras or tensorflow.
  • Ensemble Learning: Exploring techniques like bagging, boosting, and stacking to improve predictive accuracy.
  • Dimensionality Reduction: Techniques like PCA and LDA for handling high-dimensional datasets.
  • Survival Analysis: Analyzing time-to-event data and understanding concepts like censoring.
  • Building Interactive Web Applications with R Shiny: Creating dashboards and interactive visualizations for predictive models. 
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